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November 16, 2011

Nov. 16 (Bloomberg) — China’s stocks fell by the most in almost a month as investors speculated the nation’s tight monetary policies are hurting earnings growth and the slumping euro heightened concerns about the European debt crisis.

China Vanke Co. and Poly Real Estate Group Co. the nation’s biggest developers, dropped at least 2.9 percent after Shanghai Securities News said Vanke may cut prices for its Shanghai projects by more than 20 percent and the China Securities Journal reported real-estate companies are facing large loan repayments after borrowing at high interest rates. Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co. lost the most in five months after the company cut its fundraising target in a share sale.

“There are still worries about economic growth next year and a possible decline in company earnings,” said Larry Wan, Beijing-based head of investment at Union Life Asset Management Co., which manages the equivalent of $2.2 billion. “There’s not much optimism and we are expecting exports to fall too. We are now only hoping for policy easing to take place.”

The Shanghai Composite Index, which tracks the bigger of China’s stock exchanges, slumped for the first time in four days, losing 49 points, or 2 percent, to 2,480.18 at 1:20 p.m. local time. It was the biggest drop since Oct. 20. The CSI 300 Index slid 2.1 percent to 2,685.82. The Bloomberg China-US 55 Index climbed 0.8 percent to 102.96 at the close in New York.

The Shanghai Composite has risen 7.3 percent from this year’s low on Oct. 21 as loan growth jumped, inflation slowed and the government announced measures to help cash-strapped small companies. The gauge is still down 11 percent this year after the central bank raised interest rates three times and lifted the reserve-requirement ratio to curb inflation.

The stocks index is valued at 11.7 times estimated earnings, compared with a record low of 10.8 times on Oct. 21, according to weekly data compiled by Bloomberg.

Export Outlook

The outlook for China’s exports over the next few months and in the first quarter of next year is “not optimistic,” Shen Danyang, spokesman for the Ministry of Commerce, said at a regular briefing in Beijing today. He cited “uncertainties” in the external environment, cooling demand from western economies and rising costs for Chinese exporters. China’s export growth of 15.9 percent last month was less than the 16.1 percent median estimate in a Bloomberg economist survey.

Foreign direct investment rose 8.8 percent from a year earlier to $8.33 billion, the Ministry of Commerce said in a statement today in Beijing. The gain was 7.9 percent in September. Inflows in the first 10 months of the year increased 15.9 percent, the ministry said.

Developers Slump

A gauge of property stocks in the Shanghai Composite slid 2.3 percent, the most among the five groups. China Vanke slumped 2.9 percent to 7.33 yuan after Shanghai Securities News reported the company may cut prices for all of its home projects in Shanghai by more than 20 percent at the end of this week. The report cited an unidentified Hanyu Property official. Poly Real Estate dropped 4.1 percent to 9.47 yuan.

Chinese developers may have borrowed more than 1 trillion yuan ($157 billion) in loans since the second half of last year at high interest rates, China Securities Journal reported, citing unidentified people.

BNP Paribas lowered its earnings per-share forecasts for Chinese property developers by up to 26 percent for 2012 and up to 33 percent for 2013 to reflect expectation of a 10 percent drop in home prices from now until the first half of 2012, analyst Frank Chen wrote in a report.

Airline Downgrade

China Life Insurance Co., the nation’s biggest insurer, dropped 2.9 percent to 17.83 yuan after the company reported premium income was about 282.1 billion yuan in the first 10 months of the year. The premium income grew 1.4 percent from the previous year and was lower than expectations, according to Bocom International.

Yili, the nation’s biggest dairy producer, sank 5.2 percent to 21.86 yuan after the company reduced the size of its private share sale by 29 percent. The company said in May it planned to raise as much as 7 billion yuan in a private placement of 218 million new shares for at least 32.67 yuan each, using the proceeds to increase production.

China’s airline industry was cut to “neutral” from “positive” at Daiwa Capital Markets, which said passenger load factors and yields are likely to decline in 2012.

Air China Ltd, the largest international carrier, dropped 1.8 percent to 8.02 yuan. China Southern Airlines Co., the biggest domestic airline, lost 2.2 percent to 6.22 yuan. China’s airline industry was cut to “neutral” from “positive” at Daiwa, which said passenger load factors and yields are likely to decline in 2012 and profit growth will slow.

The euro slid toward a one-month low against the yen after the extra yield investors demand to hold bonds from France, Belgium, Spain and Austria instead of German bunds climbed to euro-era records. Spain is scheduled to sell as much as 4 billion euros ($5.4 billion) of bonds due 2022, while France will auction notes maturing from 2013 to 2016 tomorrow. Spain and Belgium sold less than the maximum target of bills at auctions yesterday as financing costs increased.

Europe is China’s biggest export market, making up about 20 percent of its overseas shipments.

– Editors: Allen Wan, Darren Boey

To contact Bloomberg News staff for this story: Weiyi Lim in Singapore at wlim26@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Darren Boey at dboey@bloomberg.net

Tue Nov 15, 2011

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, Nov 16 (Reuters) – The euro slipped to a fresh one-month low against the dollar and the yen on Wednesday as the euro zone debt crisis threatened to engulf top-rated members such as France, as government bonds of core countries came under pressure.

The common currency fell as far as $1.3460, its lowest level in more than a month, after the French bond yield spread over benchmark German bunds hit euro-era highs.

Italian yields shot back above the critical 7 percent level as the appointment of former EU Commissioner Mario Monti to head a new government failed to quell concerns over the country’s long-term political and economic future.

“It’s not clear if a new government in Italy can carry out measures that would satisfy the market. I would not be surprised if the euro falls to around $1.30 within two weeks,” said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief strategist at Barclays.

With the currency bloc caught in a vicious cycle of falls in government bonds hurting the region’s big banks, further undermining confidence in the area, the euro is coming under heavy pressure.

Funding strains among European banks are evident with euro/dollar three-month cross currency basis swap spreads widening to a level not seen since late 2008.

The next immediate target for euro/dollar is seen at $1.3405-10, the bottom of the weekly Ichimoku cloud and a 76.4 percent retracement of the pair’s rally last month. A break there would open the way for a test of the Oct. 4 low of $1.3145.

Daisuke Uno, chief strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Bank, said the debt crisis that started in Greece two years ago may be festering even Germany.

“In the past, the spreads of periphery countries rose as their bond yields rose while German bund yields fell. But these days bund yields hardly fall. What this means is that the debt domino is almost reaching Germany,” said Daisuke Uno, chief strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Bank.

“I think the ECB is likely to take policy action, probably buying more government bonds and cutting rates, even before the next policy-setting meeting on Dec. 8,” Uno added.

EUROPEAN CONCERNS

A turnaround on Wall Street, which closed in positive territory on the back of stronger-than-expected U.S. data, did not do much to ease fears.

“While it is clear that the data in the U.S. is improving, European concerns far outweigh at present,” said David Scutt, a trader at Arab Bank Australia in Sydney.

“Markets are clearly expecting a circuit breaker to alleviate pressure on periphery bond yields. If no announcement is forthcoming in the days ahead, one suspects that situation could unravel fairly quickly.”

Political developments in two euro zone hot spots were mixed. In Rome, Prime Minister designate Monti will meet the Italian president on Wednesday to present a new government.

But in Athens, Greek conservatives said they would not bow to “dictates from Brussels” over a bailout designed to save their country from bankruptcy and safeguard the euro.

The wobbly euro lifted the dollar index to one-month high of 78.33, well off week’s low of 76.751.

Broad risk aversion also hit commodity currencies hard, with the Australian dollar falling more than one percent to $1.0074.

The dollar held steady against the yen around 77.00, with the threat of more intervention by Japan keeping investors wary of buying the Japanese currency.

While U.S. data, including retail sales, offered hopes the world’s biggest economy has not lost momentum going into the fourth quarter, euro zone data painted a grimmer picture.

The region barely grew in the third quarter, fanning jitters it might slide into recession early next year.

Euro zone and U.S. inflation data are next in focus and a stronger-than-expected result for Europe may dim prospects for a follow-up interest rate cut by the European Central Bank.

Ahead of that, the Bank of Japan will announce the outcome of its policy setting meeting. Due between 0330 and 0500 GMT, the BOJ is expected to stand pat on policy, having eased just three weeks ago.

By Marco Palmero

As with any profession, you must first learn the fundamentals; here we learn some share trading basics. Most people start trading the Australian sharemarket with $2000 but you can start for as little as $500 plus brokerage costs. But before looking into the basics of trading shares you should ask yourself the following questions: What do you want to achieve from your share trading? What level of return do you expect? Do you think this level of return is realistic? Are you prepared to strictly follow rules and systems in your share trading? How much money are you prepared to risk in your share trading activities? Answer these questions as truthfully as you can.

An important basic share trading principle is the amount of time you are willing to spend in the market. Also consider the other influencing factors such as opportunity cost and other interest repayment costs. Also keep in mind that this length of time will vary greatly from person to person and there is no one correct answer. The best length of time to choose will fit your trading personality. Most of the time trading stocks involves a short time frame but there are trading systems which involve a longer time period. (Such traders who trade longer time frames may have a multitude of reasons why they have longer time frames: some may find it more comfortable or others may trade longer time frames to minimise their analysis time) Be mindful that you don’t transform your trading into an investment portfolio where you have let a trade turn sour and you have not followed your planned exit from your trading plan.

Your share trading activities may attract tax implications. If your market trading activities match certain criteria set out by the taxation department, your professional share trading could be seen as a type of “business”. Please seek professional advise from your accountant about tax implications and your share trading.

Keep liquidity in mind when you are trading. You will definitely want liquidity when you trade so you can easily enter and exit trades as you please, as close to your bid or asking price. Most stocks on the sharemarket are liquid, but many are also illiquid. Most liquid stocks are usually in the top 10, 100 or 200 companies of the stockmarket (in order of market capitalisation) and in Australia, these companies would be listed on the ASX100 and ASX200 indices.

Finally, you must accept the fact that you and you alone are responsible for your financial future and your share trading. You control the amount of risk in a trade and any losses must be accounted for as well as have a trading plan strictly followed. The share market doesn’t dictate how much YOU lose, only you decide how much money you are prepared to lose by presetting your stop loss and the amount of risk you are willing to place in every trade you execute. The stop loss level must be determined and set in stone before any trade is initiated. Many formulas and theorems exist for differing trading needs, but most traders use a simple rule called the 2 percent rule.

By Marcus Beattie

Online stock investing has become so easy and convenient that every ordinary person can take advantage of this. You need to know the basics of how to invest in stocks first and you should also be completely comfortable in dealing with online companies. Since this will involve monetary transactions, you need to be aware of the safety precautions that should be taken while conducting financial transactions online. Once you are confident of all of these, you can opt for online stock investing.

How Does Online Stock Investing Work?
Traditional stock investing was a process where you had to rely largely on your broker. You obtained the information and, together with the advice from your broker, you would decide to buy or sell a stock. You place the instructions with your broker over the telephone. He then acts accordingly. In return, you would have to pay him a fee which could add up considerably taking into account such diverse heads as interest charges, inactivity fees, transfer charges etc. The reason why people relied so much on brokers is that they were often aware of certain market information which helped them to make profitable decisions.

The scenario has changed drastically with the advent of the internet. You still need a broker, even for your online stock investing, but your dependence is much less. You will have to be careful while choosing your online broker. You need to research well. It is better to choose a well-established and reputed firm so that your money will be secure. You should also make sure that the broker that you are choosing is licensed to operate in your state.

Do not be dazzled by extremely lucrative offers. Read the fine prints carefully before you make your final choice. Online brokers act as your intermediary in buying and selling stocks on your instruction. Unlike full service brokers, they do not provide any advice. So their fees are also less. The downside is that you will have to take all the decisions yourself and you will not have the financial expertise and the market information that your full service broker can provide. So, if you want to take part in online stock investing, you will have to devote your full-time towards it.

The online brokerage provides a platform for you to trade in return for a fee. You should concentrate your attention on the different sectors of the market. You need to study well to choose the most lucrative stocks. Once you begin to trade, you will have to pay a fee.

Precautions About Online Stock Investing
You should not rush into online stock investing just because it is so easy and accessible. You can suffer serious losses if you venture unprepared into this field. Keep the following in mind. The most important thing is to choose your broker wisely. Cheapest is not always the best. Read the terms of agreements carefully before committing to any one broker. Study the market thoroughly and keep up to date with the news of the world to realize the best returns on your investments.

By Vijay Kumar Sharma

Fractional shares are a boon to those stock traders who do not have enough money to buy stocks at a particular point of time. Many online brokers offer such facility where an investor can buy any quantity of stocks or ETF (Index-tracking Exchange Traded Fund). No other financial investment plans offers such leverage to the investor. That’s the reason why new stock traders are getting more inclined towards stock trading system.

Lately the investment markets for custom portfolios of fractional shares are getting crowded. And, leading online brokers are also encouraging traders to opt fractional shares. The reasons behind the recognition of fractional shares are simple: it offers a platform where investors need to invest less amount of money; it offers long-term investment plan for your future financial security. With the introduction of the Internet stock trading, stock market investing is no longer a difficult task and there is nothing holding you back from investment.

Internet stock trading is a platform where you can invest money on stock for quick return. Though you may encounter with some latent hostility that will discourage you by showing some common pitfalls associated with stock trading system. But time has changed now and all those shortcomings have been wiped out. Now stock traders can easily invest money via the Internet stock trading.

Dejectedly, there were strong beliefs that only rich people would be privileged of buying company stocks. Thanks to the fractional share brokers and the availability of various trading stock options through which investors can buy stocks easily and conveniently. Again, with the introduction of the Internet stock trading, everything has become easier. With few mouse clicks, you can contact online brokers and purchase or sell stocks.

Company Websites, on the other hand, provide regular updates of your shares and help you get acquainted with your stock status online. Open an account with any leading company and get registered. Online brokers though charge a minimal amount of commission but they make things easy and hassle free. You can buy and sell stocks as per the stock market values and manage accordingly.

Undoubtedly, there are some risks with the stock market investing, but you can avoid such risks. “Little knowledge is a dangerous thing,” they say, and this is also true here in this context. A sound knowledge of the stock market is necessary before you plan to invest. Consult your friends and your neighbors who are already into this business. There are many expert online brokers who can help you and plan your investment options.

Internet has made things easier in the modern days. You can simply browse the Web and search whatever you want. Everything is available on the Internet. From online investment plans to their implementation, you can find anything. Do some research, find online brokers and buy stocks online. Find cheapest stock trading options and invest in a secured way to get maximum return in minimum time span. This is one of the biggest advantages of stock trading system.